
WM Phoenix Open
Your weekly guide to fantasy golf on the PGA TOUR

⛳ This week on the PGA TOUR
- Tournament: Waste Management Phoenix Open
- Date: February 5 – February 8, 2026
- Venue: TPC Scottsdale – Stadium Course, Scottsdale, Arizona.
- Purse: $9,600,000 (winner $1.73 million)
- Course Details: Designed by Jay Morrish and Tom Weiskopf, this desert test stretches 7,261 yards and blends dramatic risk‑reward scoring with precision demands. Sculpted with large landing areas that tighten quickly toward the greens, it challenges players to balance aggression with control—especially with its strategic bunkering and firm playing surfaces. The layout’s stadium-inspired atmosphere amps up the pressure, rewarding those who can handle both the adrenaline and the angles, making it a perfect venue for volatility and fantasy upside.
- Weather: Expect classic desert sunshine this week, with daily highs hovering in the low‑to‑mid 70s and mostly dry conditions—ideal for scoring.
- FedEx Points: 500 points to the winner.
The WM Phoenix Open returns this week with its signature mix of elite golf and electric chaos, transforming the desert into one of the PGA TOUR’s most energized stages. Known as The People’s Open and celebrated for its stadium‑style atmosphere—especially the raucous 16th hole—this event consistently draws massive crowds and a top‑tier field. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler headlines once again after opening his season with a dominant win, while former champions Brooks Koepka and Hideki Matsuyama return to a venue where they’ve thrived. With its mix of star‑power, volatility, and fan-fueled intensity, this week sets the stage for one of the most unpredictable—and fantasy‑friendly—tournaments of the season.
Past Champions:
- 2025 – Thomas Detry (-24)
- 2024 – Nick Taylor (-21)
- 2023 – Scottie Scheffler (-19)
- 2022 – Scottie Scheffler (-16)
- 2021 – Brooks Koepka (-19)

🏌️ Players to Watch (and a Few to Fade)
With a loaded field returning to the desert, this year’s event features past champions, elite ball‑strikers in peak form, and several big names still searching for their footing. The stadium‑style pressure at this venue often rewards confident drivers and elite tee‑to‑green performers—especially those with proven success in past editions.
Here are some notable names to consider—and a few to be wary of:
- Scottie Scheffler – A two‑time winner here (2022–23) who arrives in top form after a dominant victory at The American Express. He hasn’t missed a cut since 2022 and continues to rank among the best tee‑to‑green players on the planet—exactly the profile that thrives at this event.
- Hideki Matsuyama – A two‑time champion (2016–17) with a remarkably consistent record at this venue, including multiple top‑30 finishes and strong form coming into the week. His mid‑iron play remains elite, and Scottsdale has historically been one of his best fits.
- Brooks Koepka – A past champion in both 2015 and 2021, Koepka made his PGA TOUR return recently and is looking to build on a solid warm‑up start at the Farmers Insurance Open. His history here—two wins and strong ball‑striking—makes him an intriguing high‑ceiling option.
- Xander Schauffele – A consistent performer appearing among this week’s marquee names, and with the course favoring strong drivers and elite iron players, his profile fits perfectly.
- Jake Knapp – Quietly one of the hottest players entering the week with multiple top‑11 finishes early in the season. Ranked second in true strokes gained over the past three months behind only Scheffler—he could be a breakout fantasy play.
Potential Fades:
- Joel Dahmen – Although a fan favorite with past storyline moments here, he hasn’t matched the consistency of others in the field and enters this week without strong recent results compared to the top contenders.
- Rickie Fowler – A former champion, but his results in recent seasons have been far more inconsistent. Though he returns to a comfortable venue, current form doesn’t match the field’s elite.
- Jordan Spieth – Another big name with past success but inconsistent tee‑to‑green form lately. While capable of magic, he presents higher volatility than many of the top projected performers.

🤔 Fantasy Strategy
A strong fantasy strategy for the WM Phoenix Open starts with understanding how uniquely the course and atmosphere shape outcomes: TPC Scottsdale consistently rewards elite ball‑striking—especially strong driving and mid‑iron play—while the stadium‑style pressure amplifies volatility, making it crucial to balance reliability with upside. Because scoring swings can happen quickly on this layout, particularly around the risk‑reward finishing stretch, prioritize players who gain off the tee and approach, as these metrics historically correlate with success here. This means anchoring your lineups with steady tee‑to‑green performers who avoid big mistakes, then mixing in a few high‑variance, aggressive scorers who can capitalize on the par‑5s and short par‑4s. The event’s intense, crowd‑driven environment also favors mentally resilient players comfortable in chaotic settings, so weighting course history and composure becomes more important than in typical stroke‑play weeks. Ultimately, the goal is to build lineups that combine safety, spike‑week potential, and adaptability to a course where strong fundamentals and emotional control often separate contenders from casualties.
Sleepers to Consider:
- Sahith Theegala – If you want a fresh sleeper who actually brings course‑fit credentials, Sahith is your guy. He finished T3 here in 2022, proving he can thrive amid the chaos and pressure. His aggressive style can lead to streaky scoring and while he’s not as consistent as the top‑tier picks, he’s exactly the type of player who can catch fire at Scottsdale when the moment gets loud.
- Keith Mitchell – Ranked third in the field in strokes gained off the tee entering the week, Mitchell’s driving advantage plays extremely well here. He also posted a top‑11 finish last week, suggesting strong current form.
- Joel Dahmen – Yes, Joel Dahmen is somehow both a sleeper and a fade this week. His recent form doesn’t inspire much confidence, but his sponsor’s exemption—earned via that now‑famous letter‑and‑polo stunt—adds a bit of buzz and low‑owned upside. Just don’t mistake chaos for consistency… buyer beware.
- J.J. Spaun – Listed among this week’s marquee names, Spaun doesn’t command the same star attention, but his tee‑to‑green skill set aligns with what succeeds here. He’s a solid lower-ownership pivot.
⭐️ Pro Tip: Prioritize elite ball‑strikers with steady tee‑to‑green numbers, but leave room for one high‑volatility scorer who can ride the adrenaline of the stadium atmosphere to a weekend surge.

Looking to run a fantasy contest this week?
Add this week’s tournament to your existing Majors Challenge league or start a new one and invite your friends to join the action.

❎ One-and-Done Corner
This is a second-tier purse week, and there are still plenty of bigger leverage spots ahead:
- 15 picks remaining in tournaments in a higher purse tier
- 6 picks remaining in tournaments with a higher first prize, but in the same purse tier
Once again, we want to balance how we select golfers, considering both win odds and how strongly we want a golfer available for higher-purse events in the future. This is especially true in an event where Scheffler is taking up a large chunk of the win equity.
Picking for one‑and‑done at the WM Phoenix Open is a bit like trying to snag a prime seat at the 16th – if you wait too long, the best options are gone, but if you sprint recklessly, you might waste a star too early; the trick is choosing someone steady enough to cash but bold enough to ride the chaos, because patience may be wise, but fortune usually favors the fan who commits before the crowd roars.
Download the One & Done strategy guide by Team Rankings

💰 Select Betting Odds
Top Favorites
Scottie Scheffler +225
Xander Schauffele +2000
Si Woo Kim +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Cameron Young +2200
Mid Tier Contenders
Rickie Fowler +4500
Jordan Spieth +4500
Nicolai Højgaard +7000
Keith Mitchell +7500
Max Homa +10000
Long Shots
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Eric Cole +12500
Ryo Hisatsune +12500
Joel Dahmen +15000
Webb Simpson +15000


Looking for more articles, help with your picks or One-And-Done strategy?
Check with the experts at Pool Genius.

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